- [SW Analysis] (Stratfor ) Yemen:
Al Qaeda Crackdown Empty Gesture :Posted on [28
Dec 2001]
Yemen:
Al Qaeda Crackdown Empty Gesture
December
27, 2001
Summary
Yemeni security
forces recently launched a crackdown to capture suspected al Qaeda
operatives in the country. The raids are meant to reassure Washington
of Yemen's cooperation in the campaign against terrorism, but they
really are aimed at troublesome tribes in the oil-rich Marib province.
Despite what the Yemeni government would like the United States to
believe, the country remains an accessible sanctuary for al Qaeda.
Analysis
Yemeni security
forces Dec. 18 attacked an alleged al Qaeda hideout in the al-Husoun
village in Marib province, 125 miles east of the capital, Sanaa. Local
tribes fiercely resisted the assault, and 22 people were killed in the
clash. Though the government has set up security checkpoints and is
conducting more raids, three suspects reportedly escaped and are now
being hunted in the Marib, Shabwa and al-Juf provinces along the
border with Saudi Arabia.
The government
characterized the raid as an attempt to root out al Qaeda fighters,
but the effort won't necessarily deny sanctuary to members of the
terrorist group. Instead, the crackdown is more likely aimed at
combating troublesome tribes in the central provinces, as part of a
government effort to extend control over the economically vital
region. Yemen could remain a base of operations for al Qaeda, despite
what Sanaa wants the Bush administration to believe.
The Marib
province is home to one of Yemen's largest oil fields and is a central
locus of operations for the U.S.-based Hunt Oil Co. It is also known
as one of the most lawless parts of the country, where kidnappings and
attacks on oil infrastructure are common.
[ Analysis] |